Thursday, 29 August 2019

Hire Leaders for What They Can Do, Not What They Have Done

Fifty years have passed since the publication of The Peter Principle, but its rule still applies today. “In time, every post tends to be occupied by an employee who is incompetent to carry out its duties,” noted Laurence J. Peter, the educator behind this famous work. His theory postulates that most competent people are promoted until they reach a position that is above their skill level, at which point they cease to grow.
Academic studies show that promotions are still largely a reward for past performance, and that organizations continue to assume the attributes that have made someone successful so far will continue to make them successful in the future (even if their responsibilities change). This may explain why there are still a large number of incompetent leaders.
Organizations that wish to select the best people for leadership roles therefore need to change how they evaluate candidates. The next time you are filling a managerial position, ask yourself three questions:

1. Does the candidate have the skills to be a high-performing contributor or the skills to be an effective leader?
The performance level of individual contributors is measured largely through their ability, likability, and drive. Leadership, by contrast, demands a broader range of character traits, including high levels of integrity and low levels of dark-side behaviors born out of negative attributes likes narcissism or psychopathy.
The difference between these two skill sets explains why great athletes often end up being mediocre coaches (and vice versa), and why high performers often fail to succeed in leadership positions.
We all know that the most successful salespeople, software developers, and stockbrokers have exceptional technical skills, domain knowledge, discipline, and abilities to self-manage. But can those same skills be used to get a group of people to ignore their selfish agendas and cooperate effectively as a team? Probably not. Leaders do need to obtain a certain level of technical competence to establish their credibility, but too much expertise in a single area can be a handicap. Experts are often hindered by fixed mindsets and narrow views, which result from their years of experience. Great leaders, however, are able to remain open and to adapt, no matter how experienced they are. They succeed because they are able to continually learn.
This has been proved in many situations, particularly in the area of sales. A recent academic study of over 200 firms found that performance as a salesperson was negatively correlated with performance as a sales manager. If you promote your number one salesperson to management, you create two problems: You lose your top salesperson and you gain a poor manager.

2. Can I really trust this candidate’s individual performance measures?
The most common indicator of someone’s performance is a single subjective rating by a direct line manager. This makes measures of performance vulnerable to bias, politics, and an employee’s ability to manage up. Although peer-based and network-oriented performance management is growing, it is still in its infancy. As a result, performance measures may not be as reliable as you think.
This is likely why women still tend to be promoted less than men, even when their performance is identical. Many organizations promote people into leadership positions because they “create the right impression,” even if their actual contributions are minimal.
If you ask yourself the above question, and the answer is “no,” take some time to think about what good leadership looks like at your company. Are you looking for leaders who can drive great results? Bring people together? Listen and develop others? Or are you looking for leaders who can connect, innovate, and help evolve the business? Every company needs different types of leaders at different times, and someone who performs well in their current role may not be the right person to help you reach your most immediate goals.

3. Am I looking forward or backward?
The secret to selecting great leaders is to predict the future, not to reward the past. Every organization faces the problem of how to identify the people who are most likely to lead your teams through growing complexity, uncertainty, and change. Such individuals may have a very different profile from those who have succeeded in the past, as well as from those who are succeeding in the present.
Avoid promoting entirely based on culture fit. Although you may have good intentions in doing it, it often results in a lack of diversity of thought and outdated leadership models. In today’s ever-changing world, businesses are expected to grow as fast as the technologies surrounding them. Their models must be in constant transformation. What worked in the past and what is working in the present may not work at all in the future. Companies, then, need to get more comfortable thinking outside the box. This means taking “misfits” or “people who think differently” and placing them into leadership roles. Give them support and time to prove themselves. This is just one way to deepen your leadership pipeline.
You should also take an extra look at the people who “may not be ready,” and analyze them on the basis of their ambition, reputation, and passion for your business. Often the youngest, most agile, and most confident people turn into incredible leaders, even though their track record may not be the best. Mark Zuckerberg, one of the most successful CEOs in decades by many measures, had almost no business experience before he started Facebook. Steve Jobs had not run a large company before Apple, yet he had the insights, connections, and drive to make it a household name.
It’s time to rethink the notion of leadership. If you move beyond promoting those with the most competence and start thinking more about those who can get you where you want to go, your company will thrive. In other words, start considering those who have high potential, not just top performers.
Source: HBR 27, 2019

Monday, 26 August 2019

Is Recession coming.... few signals we should know

Everyone is discussing recession, So the question is whether the recession is in sight now. There are a couple of indications of financial downturn that can, when consolidated somehow or another, demonstrate a recession is brewing..

Yield curve inverts


When interest rates on short-term government bonds surpass the interest rates for long-term government bonds, business analysts state that yield curve has inverted. That is an indication of cynicism among financial specialists, and it's a solid expectation of economic downturn. In fact, the last five recessions have been preceded by a yield curve inversion, in spite of the fact that it doesn't imply that recession will happen right away.

Unemployment rate rises



There's a stream down impact that happens in a down economy: People quit spending money, which means organizations don't work out quite as well. Organizations cut a portion of their workers. If a lot of businesses are doing this at the same time, it makes it harder for those laid-off folks to find new employment. In the event that the joblessness rate goes up, it's a sign that things aren't looking incredible.

GDP drops 


Gross domestic product (GDP) is, to put it plainly, the size of the economy. It's regularly determined by seeing purchaser spending, business speculation, and fares.If that combined measure dips significantly, it’s bad news.

Stock market tanks


When the stock market declines quickly—like when you see a headline about the "most terrible day of the year," or something gloom and doom—this is on the grounds that numerous financial specialists aren't sure about the economy and they're auctioning off as much stock as they can. If the stock market dips over and over, on a close regular routine, it's an indication of trouble.

Some recent developments, which we should also know are

Acceleration in US-China levy war 


Eighteen months prior Donald Trump started his "America first" crusade with a battle about steel dumping. The US president forced 25% import duties on steel against China, the EU, India, Canada and Mexico.


Easing back US development 


Trump inherited a buoyant economy and gave it a sugar surge of personal tax reductions and corporate giveaways. Outstanding development a year ago incited the US national bank, the Federal Reserve, to increase interest rates to calm things down.

Long recession in Germany 


Angela Merkel’s finance minister, Olaf Scholz, has raisd desires for a €50bn (£45bn) lift to the German economy to head off an imminent recession. The economy shrunk just barely in the subsequent quarter – 0.1% – yet is hope to endure a second and bigger drop in the second from last quarter.

Chinese debt crisis


China, more than the US, has been the additional gear for the worldwide economy since the 2008 financial crash, but the country is in the throes of a full-blown debt crisis.

Brexit


The uncertainty surrounding Britain’s future and whether it remains inside the world’s largest trading bloc or swims alone has already damaged investment and GDP growth.

Other countries performance 


A string of countries are currently in recession or have recently suffered a contraction. India's Auto sector is going through a great recession which is resulting in massive job losses. Iran faces a blockade by the US and is unable to sell its oil or access the financial markets easily. Argentina is weighed down by enormous debts and Venezuela, despite holding the world’s largest oil reserves, is in political and economic crisis.


The bad news is that recessions are pretty inevitable, meaning sooner or later, one will land. The good news is that the economy eventually recovers. 

Wednesday, 7 August 2019

Building your Dream Team: Intuition & Data, Leadership & Process

In his keynote session at TechHR 2019, Anil Kumble, the former cricketer and Padma Shri Recipient, shed light on what goes into becoming a great leader and how to overcome the obstacles to becoming a successful leader.
The Crux of Leadership: 
“You are as good as your last performance,'' says Anil Kumble. Leadership is about leading oneself, and building a team to navigate the highs and lows. Kumble owes his best performance (1999), to his courage to be unorthodox and carve his own niche. Leaders are under constant radar, and so was the young version of Kumble. “I was 19 and was doing my engineering- plan A. Cricket was plan B, and when I was out of the team after my first series, it was tough,” says the icon. 
Despite people discrediting his bowling style, he pushed ahead to prove them wrong. A leader has to prove time and again, that he can perform. The SA series was very crucial and with it going well, he got the confidence. 
 Once you know you can do it once, you know you can repeat that
This confidence must be coupled with learning. Kumble met former leg spinner, V V Kumar to learn the orthodox leg spin. He unlearned, relearnt, and changed his action and within five days, applied the technique live in the Bombay versus Rest of India at Wankhede. To sustain the performance for a period of time, evolve, innovative, think and act different. “Keep asking those questions differently,'' says Kumble. How to best camouflage your weaknesses will allow you to bring your strength to the forefront with a calm mind, in the toughest situations. “This is my style, and I will stick to this”, quotes Kumble.  
The Obstacles to Leadership Success
Organizations aspire for diversity. Yet, people who do not fit in often face doubts. Kumble often questioned, “should I change my style?”. The key lies in persisting with who you truly are. Leaders today must train the mind to try. This encompasses getting out of the comfort zone, unlearning and persistently actioning. 
Sticking to your strengths can help own up responsibilities for the team. “I looked at myself as someone who had opportunity to change the course of the game, whether the situation was hopeless or good”, says Kumble. Being a leader entails being a part of the group, at the same time being honest with yourself and also about the team. You cannot change, just because you are captain. Keep open the developmental eye i.e. gear up your people for any eventuality on the field. 
Perhaps the single biggest challenge in successful leadership is being authentic. Kumble seconds this, “with honesty and straightforwardness, upfront, people know who you are and it is easier to handle any situation.” This came handy during the Australia-Sydney incident, when, after the match, Kumble had to handle the team from a different perspective, in the wake of media glare. Every leader faces the dissonance- “Should I stand up and own up, or should I send someone?” For Kumble too, this doubt lingered, and he decided to speak to everyone head-first- a great learning curve indeed! 
Technology versus human touch – Leadership Enablers
Cricket has adopted a lot of technology for key decision-making. Today, cricketers observe recordings and reflect. “I was the first captain to take a laptop into the dressing room and everyone was like, how does that help us?” says Anil Kumble. With so much data, one single delivery can be tackled in multiple ways. Of course, experts like Kumble are still relevant to decide for the data, simplify and help people understand so that the fabric of the game stays intact. No one will enjoy an interaction where the leader is appealing to the computer! 
Thus leadership must merge the best of both worlds- technology and human skills so as to take everyone towards success. 
Source: People Matters 07 Aug, 2019